Nonlinearity Transmission of Monetary Policy Through the House Price Channel; MSVAR Approach

In the past decades, the discussions between economists have changed of impact or no impact of monetary policy to effective monetary policy channels. Since, The housing sector has a large share in the household consumption basket, gross domestic product and wealth of the private sector, Then this sector play very decisive role in transfer transfer of monetary policy effects on production. Therefore, in this study, the asymmetric transmission of monetary policy has been evaluated through the housing price channel. For this porpuse were used the non-linear MSVAR technique and time series data of Iran's economy were used during the 1992 to 2017 seasons. The results of the research indicate that the effects of monetary policy on the economy have been asymmetric from the housing price channel. As in the years after 2008 (Regime 0). the share of the housing price channel in the transfer of monetary policy to production was less than regime1 (the years before 2008). Also, the effects of monetary policy have been more influenced by prices in regime 1. The results indicate that the share of housing prices in the production volatility in regime1 and in the short and long term is 56% and 50%, respectively, which is about 7% and 6% for regime 0. Hence, the housing price channel in regime 0is less important than regime1.